Friday, October 26, 2018

Egypt Energy Situation E04

Electricity

General Data

Table.9: The General Electricity Situation in Egypt

Electricity
ProductionConsumptionExportsImportsInstalled Generating Capacity
Rate171.9 billion kWh150.4 billion kWh1.158 billion kWh43 million kWh38.88 million kWh
World Ranking24255710627

Electricity Access

According to the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)'s 2018 report, only around 300,000 people of the whole Egyptian population is currently without access to electricity.
Table.10: Electrification Percentages in Egypt

Electrification
Total PopulationUrban AreasRural Areas
 %99.610099.3

Installed Capacity and Generation

Table.11: Percentages of Different Electricity-Generating Energy-Sources in Egypt

Electricity Generated From:
Fossil Fuels
Nuclear Fuels
Hydroelectric PlantsOther Renewables
 % of the Total Installed Capacity90.507.32.2
World Ranking5883125115

Between 2011/2012 and 2012/2013, the total installed capacity increased about 6 %, reaching 30,803 MW, due to added thermal plants. The installed capacity development by type of generation since 2008 is outlined in table 12.
Table 12: Installed capacity development by type of generation (in MW) 2008-2013

2008/20092009/20102010/20112011/20122012/2013
MW
Renewable425249687687687
Steam11,45811,45812,85912,68413,808
Hydro2,8002,8002,8002,8002,800
Combined Cycle7,1787,1379,32710,07710,080
Gas1,6412,8411,3762,8263,428

Total23,50224,76227,04929,07430,803

In addition, Egypt has 30 decentralized power plants, mostly diesel and gas turbine units which are not connected to the national grid. The combined installed capacities of these plants added up to 224 MW in 2012/2013. Approximately 234.5 GWh of electricity were supplied to local users including tourist resorts.

Egypt is a net exporter of electricity, importing 77 GWh while exporting 474 GWh of electricity in 2012. In 2012/2013, the average percentage of network losses were 11.02%.

Between 2001 and 2012, electricity production rose from 83,282 GWh to 164,364 GWh. The main source for the production of electricity is gas (66%) followed by hydro (18.2%) and oil (15.6%). The Egyptian Electricity Holding Company (EEHC) operates with five-year plans. The current one (2012-2017) foresees the installation of 15.000 MW additional capacity. However, due to the increasing demand, the reserve margin is still expected to remain tight.

Consumption

The main consumer of electricity in Egypt is the residential sector which accounts for 42% of the total consumption, followed by the industrial sector (28%). The consumption of the residential sector has been steadily increasing in the recent years. According to the Ministry of Electricity and Energy, this is due to two factors: the expansion of residential compounds and new communities as well as the use of domestic appliances, air conditioners in particular, during hot weather. The development of the electricity consumption per sector is outlined in table 13.
Table 13: Electricity consumption by sector (GWh) 2008-2013
Sector2008/20092009/20102010/20112011/20122012/2013
GWh
Industries37,27338,91640,70242,09839,887
Agriculture4,6174,8344,9275,5606,230
Utilities4,7145,5555,7596,0105,904
Public lighting6,9827,0506,1866,5376,210
Governmental entities5,5635,4435,9776,3857,664
Residential43,81147,43151,37056,66459,757
Commercial & others8,7549,67410,23810,71514,605

Total111,714118,903125,159133,969140,257

Grid

In 2012/2013, the carrier grid consisted of 43,634 km total transmission lines and cables. The grid is subdivided into six geographical zones, namely Cairo, Canal, Delta, Alexandria and West Delta, Middle Egypt and Upper Egypt. The country’s entire territory is covered. The network is interconnected with the grids of Libya, Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon. There are ongoing studies for interconnections with Saudi Arabia, Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Eastern Nile Basin (Sudan and Ethiopia) and Greece.

Table.14: Indicators of Egyptian Grid
CategoryInstalled CapacityMax LoadTransmission GridGenerated Energy
Indicator45192 MW30400 MW45000 Km186320 GWh

Electricity prices

The prices of electricity in Egypt range among the lowest in the world. The prices are fixed by the Egyptian and are highly subsidized. The tariff structure varies according to the type of consumption (i.e. residential, commercial, industrial) and amount consumed. Since the tariff is higher for higher consumption, there is an incentive to consume less. The lowest category of the residential tariff, up to 50 KWh/month, has remained unchanged since 1993 at 5 piasters per KWh.

Since 2007, the government has been trying to cut costs for subsidies. In July 2014, electricity prices were increased as part of a five-year plan which aims to start generating profits from electricity, which is currently sold for less than half its production cost.

Friday, October 5, 2018

Egypt Energy Situation E03

Consumption

Egypt is by far the largest consumer of oil and natural gas in Africa, showing 22% of petroleum and other liquids of the continent's total consumption and 37% of its dry natural gas consumption.

The main drivers of the rapid growth of the country's consumption of oil and natural gas can be summarized in the following:
  1. The increased industrial output.
  2. Economic growth.
  3. Intense extraction projects of oil and natural gas.
  4. Population growth.
  5. The inclining rate of private and commercial vehicle sales.
  6. The generous subsidy policy, that is focused on energy products.

Through this sub-chapter, different consumption data will be presented, using different sources, to get a holistic view as possible of the energy consumption situation in the country.

Table.4: Egypt’s Primary Energy Consumption since 1965
Year1965197519851995200020052010201520162017
Rate7.810.52837.348.460.578.484.488.291.6

Table.5: Egypt’s Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel 2016-2017 

OilNatural GasCoalNuclearHydro-ElectricRenewableTotal
20164242.4.2-3.688.2
201739.748.1.2-3.691.6

Table.6: Egypt’s Final Consumption of Different Energy Sources during the 2000s

20002005201220132014201520162017
Coal453203204188188200211224
Oil1789820156270092257326333352133608637028
Natural Gas42749182127191820219505209562144621960
Electricity55597918120601232412306126681313413630

Table.7: Egypt’s Industrial Consumption of Different Energy Sources during the 2000s

20002005201220132014201520162017
Oil54615548371632793133636967137080
Natural Gas20725567664967898002908393039536
Electricity2111281234303500328836934883612
Coal453203204188188200211224

Table.8: Egypt’s Transport Consumption of Different Energy Sources during the 2000s

20002005201220132014201520162017
Oil90609371155471236216416168921709817312
Electricity--444445464647

Fig.6: A Pie-Chart of the Egyptian Primary Energy Consumption in the Year 2016 (EIA, 2018)

Import and Export

Egypt is a net exporter of crude oil and natural gas, however, the combination of increasing consumption and declining production has led to a decline in natural gas exports since 2009, as the government started to divert natural gas supplies from exports, in order to satisfy domestic demand, eventually turning the country into a natural gas importer since 2015. 

In terms of coal and peat, Egypt is a net importer, and coal imports are even expected to increase in the short-medium term, since the Egyptian government has approved the industrial use of coal in April 2014, and in the same year signed a construction deal for the first coal-fired power in the country.

Subsidies

In 2013, the Egyptian government spent 120 billion Egyptian pounds (about 13.8 billion EUR) on fuel subsidies, which equals 7% of the GDP. These costs in combination with economic stagnation have contributed to the increasing deficit, which reached about 12% of GDP in 2013. In order to alleviate this burden, the Egyptian government announced spending cuts on energy subsidies in June 2014. The Financial Times reported that these subsidies are going to be cut by almost a third.